Monitor whether any actual military mobilization, Congressional war authorization request, or concrete enforcement action follows the rhetoric within the stated timeframe—rhetoric without institutional follow-through confirms distraction classification.
While the ultimatum raises separation-of-powers concerns (unilateral war threats without Congressional authorization) and violence-enabling risks, it remains rhetorical without concrete enforcement mechanisms. The event scores extremely high on distraction metrics: maximum outrage-bait (war threat), highly meme-able (48-hour countdown), and follows historical Trump pattern of Iran escalation rhetoric. The 49-point gap (B-A) clearly indicates this is primarily a distraction event despite genuine constitutional concerns about war powers.