Trump Administration Halts All Offshore Wind Projects
Monitor for actual project cancellations vs regulatory review; track legal challenges from states/developers; assess whether halt is procedural review or permanent policy shift; distinguish between constitutional overreach and standard executive energy policy discretion.
Policy halt on offshore wind represents regulatory capture (industry fossil fuel interests score 4) and rule of law concerns (executive overreach on energy policy score 3). Election driver scores 2 for policy reversal fulfilling campaign promises. Mechanism modifier 1.15 for policy_change with federal scope 1.2. Severity: durability 1.1 (requires legislative fix), reversibility 0.9 (next admin can restore). Base: (2×0.22 + 3×0.18 + 2×0.16 + 0×0.14 + 4×0.14 + 1×0.10 + 0×0.06) = 1.94 × 1.0 × 1.15 × 1.2 = 2.68... recalc: drivers sum to 1.94, severity avg 1.0, final 2.68×8.73=23.38. B-score: Layer1 (outrage 7 climate activists, meme 4 windmill jokes, novelty 5 sweeping halt, media 8 visual/climate angle) = 6.0×0.55=3.3. Layer2 (mismatch 6 energy vs constitutional, timing 5 early admin, pivot 7 climate wars narrative, specificity 4) = 5.5×0.45×1.136=2.81. Total 27.19. D=-3.81 indicates List B (hype exceeds damage).