Trump Escalates Military Conflict with Iran
Watch for a War Powers Resolution vote or congressional demand for an Authorization for Use of Military Force (AUMF) debate, and track whether Congress receives classified briefings on the strikes and casualty accounting.
This is a genuine foreign-policy/war-powers escalation with real casualties, but the Constitutional Damage drivers (largely domestic-institution focused) capture only moderate separation-of-powers concern (unilateral military escalation without clear congressional authorization) and minimal other domestic harms, keeping A below threshold. Meanwhile Trump's callous 'small potatoes' framing generates outsized media/outrage traction relative to the underlying policy substance, pushing B higher and yielding a distraction-dominant classification despite real-world military consequences.