This event scores low on constitutional damage (A=7.1) as it represents potential foreign policy shift rather than domestic constitutional harm. Separation of powers shows modest concern (2) as executive foreign policy discretion is broad. Rule of law (1) and capture (1) reflect minimal constitutional mechanism engagement. The policy_change mechanism adds 15% but international scope reduces by 15%. B-score is moderate (21.6) driven by high media friendliness and outrage potential around Ukraine abandonment narrative, but falls short of List B threshold. Critical issue: this is entirely speculative ('may abandon within days') with no concrete action taken, single headline source, and vague timeline. The 'warning' framing suggests strategic signaling rather than actual policy execution. Classified as Noise due to A<25, speculative nature, and lack of constitutional mechanism despite policy_change tag.