Weekly civic intelligence report · v2.2
Met Opera attendance dropped in spring as tourism fell, coinciding with the Trump administration's immigration crackdown, suggesting broader economic and social impacts.
This event scores low on constitutional damage (A=4.2) as it represents indirect economic/social effects of immigration enforcement rather than direct constitutional violations. Rule_of_law gets 1 (enforcement actions are lawful but aggressive), civil_rights gets 2 (chilling effects on mobility/tourism). However, B-score is high (35.8) due to strong media-friendliness (elite cultural institution), high mismatch (Met Opera as proxy for immigration policy critique), and narrative pivot potential (reframing enforcement as cultural/economic damage). The causal chain is attenuated: enforcement→tourism decline→opera attendance, making this primarily a hype vehicle. Intentionality moderate (8/15) as cultural institutions often become symbolic battlegrounds. D-score of -31.6 clearly indicates List B classification.
Monitor for pattern of using elite cultural institutions as proxies for policy criticism; distinguish between direct constitutional harms and downstream economic effects in immigration enforcement coverage.