Weekly civic intelligence report ยท v2.2
Former Trump national security adviser John Bolton is indicted for mishandling classified information. Prosecutors seek grand jury indictment related to classified records.
Constitutional damage moderate (17.52): Rule of law driver scores 4 (judicial action against former official, proper mechanism) with election impact 2 (Bolton connected to Trump orbit, 2024 relevance). Corruption scores 2 (classified handling). Precedent multiplier 1.1 for high-level official prosecution. Mechanism modifier 1.15 for judicial action. However, distraction score dominates at 42.68. Layer 1: High outrage (7) given Bolton-Trump history and classified docs echo, strong media friendliness (8) with 19 syndicated articles suggesting coordinated release. Layer 2: Massive mismatch (8) - Bolton is Trump critic who testified against him, creating ironic reversal. Timing (7) during Trump's own classified docs legal issues. Narrative pivot (9) - shifts from 'Trump uniquely reckless' to 'everyone does it' frame. Pattern match (9) - perfect symmetry with Trump prosecution. Intentionality 11/15: Selective prosecution pattern evident (Bolton one of many with potential violations), political timing suspicious, narrative symmetry too convenient, Bolton-Trump antagonism makes this politically useful to multiple actors. Delta: -25.16 strongly negative indicates List B classification.
Monitor for: (1) Comparative treatment analysis - how Bolton case proceeds vs Trump case prosecution vigor, (2) Whether this becomes precedent for broader classified handling enforcement or remains isolated, (3) Political exploitation by Trump allies ('see, they all do it') vs Trump critics ('accountability for all'), (4) Actual evidence strength vs symbolic prosecution, (5) Timing of case developments relative to 2024 election calendar. Key question: Is this legitimate equal application of law or strategic distraction/narrative manipulation?