Monitor whether DHS actually files regulatory actions or funding restrictions against specific airports within 30 days; absent concrete enforcement mechanisms, this remains primarily rhetorical pressure.
This threat scores moderately on constitutional harm (A=44) through federal coercion of local jurisdictions (separation of powers), selective enforcement threats (rule of law), and chilling effects on civil liberties. However, it scores slightly higher as distraction (B=48) due to high media-friendliness, pattern-matching previous sanctuary city rhetoric, and significant coverage-to-substance mismatch—no actual sanctions have been implemented. The threat mechanism creates headlines without immediate governance change, fitting the administration's established immigration messaging playbook.