Weekly civic intelligence report · v2.2
Utah passed legislation banning LGBTQ+ pride flags from government buildings and schools, becoming the first state to enact such a ban. This represents state-level policy restricting LGBTQ+ expression.
A-score: Civil rights driver scores 4 (state policy restricting LGBTQ+ expression in public spaces, viewpoint-based restriction). Rule of law scores 3 (content-based speech restriction, potential First Amendment concerns). Election scores 2 (culture war positioning). Capture scores 2 (ideological capture of state institutions). Policy_change mechanism applies 1.3 modifier. Single_state scope applies 0.5 modifier. Precedent severity 1.2 (first state to enact such ban creates template). Final: (2×0.22 + 3×0.18 + 1×0.16 + 4×0.14 + 2×0.14 + 0×0.10 + 0×0.06) × 1.1 × 1.0 × 1.2 × 1.3 × 0.5 = 10.3. B-score: Layer 1 extremely high - outrage_bait 9 (LGBTQ+ rights flashpoint), novelty 8 (first state ban), media_friendliness 9 (clear culture war narrative), meme_ability 6. Layer 1 subtotal: 17.6. Layer 2: pattern_match 8 (fits culture war template), mismatch 7 (symbolic vs substantive), timing 5, narrative_pivot 6. Layer 2 subtotal: 11.7. Intentionality 9 (clear culture war positioning, symbolic target, election cycle). Intent_weight 0.55. Final: 17.6 + (11.7 × 0.55) = 31.9. Delta: -21.6. Classification: List B (B≥25 AND D≤-10). High distraction-to-damage ratio despite real civil rights concerns.
Monitor for: (1) Actual enforcement patterns and legal challenges (First Amendment litigation likely), (2) Copycat legislation in other states (precedent effect), (3) Whether ban extends beyond flags to other LGBTQ+ expression or resources, (4) Impact on LGBTQ+ students and employees in affected institutions, (5) Use as wedge issue in 2024 election cycle. Real civil rights implications exist but presentation maximizes culture war engagement over substantive policy analysis. Track whether media coverage focuses on constitutional questions or tribal signaling.