Weekly civic intelligence report ยท v2.2
21 Republican states file brief supporting Florida's sweeping school library book bans, advancing coordinated censorship efforts.
A-score 24.4: Multi-state coordination on book bans creates moderate constitutional concern. Civil_rights (4.0) reflects First Amendment/intellectual freedom issues in public education. Rule_of_law (3.5) captures judicial process being used to normalize censorship. Election (2.5) and capture (2.5) reflect coordinated GOP state action. Norm_erosion_only mechanism reduces modifier to 0.85 (no formal policy yet, just amicus brief). Multi-state scope adds 1.25x. Severity multipliers: durability 1.15 (precedent-setting coordination), reversibility 1.05 (can be challenged), precedent 1.2 (21-state brief is significant). B-score 28.6: Layer1 (14.3): High outrage_bait (8.0) on book banning/censorship, strong media_friendliness (7.5) for culture war narrative, moderate meme_ability (6.5), lower novelty (4.0) as book ban debates ongoing. Layer2 (12.85): Pattern_match (8.0) fits established culture war playbook, narrative_pivot (7.0) shifts from substantive issues, mismatch (6.0) between brief's impact and attention. Intentionality 9/15 (coordinated timing, culture war framing) yields 0.55 weight. Delta: -4.2 (B exceeds A). Both scores near threshold (A=24.4, B=28.6), delta within mixed range, qualifies as Mixed event with B-list lean due to culture war amplification exceeding actual constitutional damage from an amicus brief.
Monitor for actual court ruling and implementation. Track whether coordination extends to enforcement mechanisms. Distinguish between legal brief (limited immediate impact) and actual policy implementation. Watch for escalation to federal legislation or Supreme Court involvement that would elevate constitutional stakes.