Weekly civic intelligence report · v2.2
The Trump Organization is negotiating to repurchase its lease on the Trump International Hotel in Washington DC, raising questions about conflicts of interest and use of federal property.
Private business transaction involving federal property lease. Separation score 3 for potential conflicts between private business and federal property interests. Corruption score 3 for appearance issues around federal lease terms. Rule_of_law 2 for questions about lease compliance. Capture 2 for potential influence concerns. Mechanism_modifier 0.6 applied: norm_erosion_only without concrete legal violation or institutional damage. Base_score 10 * 1.1 * 0.6 * 1.0 = 6.6. B-score elevated by outrage_bait (conflict framing) and media_friendliness (Trump+DC+conflicts narrative) but novelty low (recurring theme). Layer2 pattern_match high (emoluments clause debates). Final B 16.82. A-score 6.6 well below 25 threshold, no substantial constitutional mechanism beyond norm concerns, narrow population (single property transaction). Classification: Noise.
Monitor for actual lease terms, GSA oversight actions, or legal challenges that would elevate from private transaction to institutional capture or rule_of_law violation. Current state: business negotiation with conflict-of-interest optics but no demonstrated constitutional damage mechanism.