Weekly civic intelligence report ยท v2.2
Out-of-pocket costs for ObamaCare premiums are expected to more than double, with significant increases if Trump administration and Congress do not reach a deal on healthcare policy. ACA open enrollment window is currently live.
This event scores low on constitutional damage (A=9.27) as it represents standard policy negotiation rather than institutional harm. Civil_rights receives 2 points for potential healthcare access impacts, capture gets 1 for industry influence dynamics. The mechanism_modifier of 1.15 reflects legitimate policy_change pathway. However, B-score is high (35.11) due to strong Layer 1 hype: outrage_bait=8 (doubling costs headline), media_friendliness=7 (simple cost narrative), plus Layer 2 strategic elements: timing=8 (during open enrollment window), mismatch=7 (conditional 'if no deal' framing creates artificial urgency). Intentionality score of 9 reflects timing coordination and political pressure tactics. D-score of -25.84 clearly indicates List B classification - this is strategic hype around routine policy negotiations amplified during enrollment period to generate political pressure.
Monitor for actual policy outcomes versus predicted premium changes. Track whether 'doubling' materializes or represents worst-case scenario amplification. Distinguish between legitimate healthcare policy concerns and manufactured crisis narratives timed for political leverage.